Reading the Dashboard

The main chart overlays observed temperature with model forecasts over time. The green line is the latest station observation, and each additional colored line represents a model's prediction for the station temperature.

• •Thin red and blue lines above/below the observation line show the precision window from integer-Celsius reporting
• •Lines converging = models agree (high confidence)
• •Lines diverging = models disagree (higher uncertainty)
• •Hover over the chart to see exact values, including Actual, Min, and Max for observations

Toggle individual models on and off to reduce visual noise. See the forecast models guide for details on each model's resolution, update frequency, and coverage.

Below the chart, color-coded pills show which models are currently displayed. Each pill's color matches its line on the chart.

• •Click a pill to toggle that model on or off
• •The model selector lets you choose preset groups (e.g., "US models only")
• •Your tier determines how many models are available (free: 3, paid: all 19)

The market odds card shows real-time prices from temperature prediction markets. Prices represent the market's implied probability that the temperature will be above or below specific strike prices.

• •Strike prices are temperature thresholds (e.g., "Above 75°F")
• •Prices range from $0 to $1 — a price of $0.70 means the market thinks there's roughly a 70% chance of that outcome
• •Orderbook depth shows how much liquidity is available at each price level

Compare what the models are predicting with what the market is pricing. When they diverge, there may be a trading opportunity — or the market may know something the models don't.

When market brackets are enabled, colored horizontal bands overlay the chart showing each prediction market bracket's temperature range. Solid 2px border lines mark the exact boundary between adjacent brackets so you can see precisely where one range ends and the next begins.

• •Orange bands = today's market brackets, blue bands = tomorrow's
• •Click a label on the right side of the chart to toggle that bracket on or off — useful for isolating a specific range
• •Hidden brackets show dimmed labels with strikethrough text. Click again to restore, or use the Show all button to restore all hidden brackets at once
• •Labels show the temperature range and market-implied probability (e.g., "72-76 34%")

Toggle bracket bands on or off globally using the chart settings gear icon. The High/Low toggle in the market section controls which bracket set is displayed.

Switch between Kalshi, Polymarket, and IBKR (Interactive Brokers / ForecastEx) data. Each platform may offer different strike prices, different liquidity, and different fees.

Not all platforms cover every city. The toggle will only show platforms that have active markets for the city you're viewing.

The hourly table breaks down each model's temperature prediction hour by hour. This is where you can spot exactly when models diverge.

Each row represents one hour. Each column shows a model's forecast for that hour. Look for:

• •Hours where all models cluster tightly — high confidence
• •Hours where models spread out — the atmosphere is uncertain
• •The hour when the high or low is expected to occur — most relevant for settlement

The observations ticker shows real-time NWS station readings — the actual measured temperature as reported by the weather station.

These are polled every 60 seconds. When the station stops reporting (which can happen for up to 30 minutes), the last observation is carried forward (LOCF). The ticker indicates when data is stale.

The observed high/low row above the ticker shows both the displayed value and its implied min/max precision bounds so you can quickly gauge rounding risk near a strike.

Remember: these observations are preliminary data. The official record may differ after NWS review.

The timer shows a countdown to the next data update. Your subscription tier determines update frequency:

• •Free tier: 3-minute delayed updates
• •Paid tiers: 1-minute updates

Two selectors control what you see on the chart:

• •Resolution selector: Controls how frequently the displayed data updates. Higher resolution means more data points on the chart. Available resolutions depend on your subscription tier.
• •Time range selector: Zooms the chart in or out on the forecast horizon. Short ranges (6-12 hours) show more detail for imminent weather. Long ranges (3-7 days) show the broader outlook.

Shorter time ranges (6-24 hours) show more granular detail. Longer ranges (3-7 days) reveal the broader trend but with less precision per data point.